Championship · 2025Kassam Stadium

Oxford United 0–2 Birmingham City · Championship

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Birmingham City won 0–2.

Shots
911
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.460.8
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Birmingham City beat Oxford United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Birmingham City): shots 9–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.46–0.8, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oxford United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

moderate

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Birmingham City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Birmingham City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsOxford United · Birmingham City14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOxford UnitedBirmingham CityBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsOxford United 9 shots, Birmingham City 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsOxford United 4 shots, Birmingham City 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG0.8 xGOxford United 0.46 xG, Birmingham City 0.8 xG
  • Possession39%61%Oxford United 39%, Birmingham City 61%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersOxford United 4 corners, Birmingham City 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsOxford United 7 fouls, Birmingham City 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stanley Mills · Oxford United · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPrzemysław Płacheta · Oxford United · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSam Long · Oxford United · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatt Phillips · Oxford United · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJhon Solís · Birmingham City · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 66′ · 0.06 xG · goalMyles Peart-Harris · Oxford United · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJhon Solís · Birmingham City · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOle Romeny · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 34′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Klarer · Birmingham City · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOle Romeny · Oxford United · 88′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMyles Peart-Harris · Birmingham City · 23′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oxford United: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.47 xG. Birmingham City: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Myles Peart-Harris · Birmingham City · 23′Marvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 0.47 xG · Birmingham City 1.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Oxford United
0Draws
1Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Oxford United · Championship1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United29 matchesBirmingham City30 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored29/30▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed29/301.27 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals29/30▲ 1.5 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 3.83 shots/match
42%Possession28/29● 54.2%
3.86 corners/matchCorners28/29● 5.52 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls27/2911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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