PitchMath
Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 3–0 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Portsmouth won 3–0.

Shots
204
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.470.14
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Portsmouth beat West Bromwich Albion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – West Bromwich Albion): shots 20–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.47–0.14, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

strong

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portsmouth.

6.12 days ▲Rest daysPortsmouth · West Bromwich Albion7.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days6.12 days7.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots4 shotsPortsmouth 20 shots, West Bromwich Albion 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotPortsmouth 6 shots, West Bromwich Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.47 xG0.14 xGPortsmouth 2.47 xG, West Bromwich Albion 0.14 xG
  • Possession49%51%Portsmouth 49%, West Bromwich Albion 51%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersPortsmouth 3 corners, West Bromwich Albion 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsPortsmouth 7 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · West Bromwich Albion · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRegan Poole · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 38′ · 0.10 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 20′ · 0.11 xG · goalConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 2′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 25′ · 0.22 xG · goalMakenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 88′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 49′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.45 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Conor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 20′Millenic Alli · Portsmouth · 25′Ebou Adams · Portsmouth · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 2.45 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Portsmouth
1Draws
2West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion — Portsmouth · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Portsmouth · Championship5–1
Portsmouth — West Bromwich Albion · Championship0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth28 matchesWest Bromwich Albion30 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/30▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/301.57 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals28/30▲ 1.19 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots27/30▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target27/30▲ 4.23 shots/match
49.3%Possession27/30● 51.3%
5.11 corners/matchCorners27/30● 5.43 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls27/3010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortsmouthWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPortsmouth — West Bromwich Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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