Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 1–2 Birmingham City · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Birmingham City won 1–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.41.32
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Birmingham City beat Norwich City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Birmingham City): shots 18–9, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.4–1.32, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

strong

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsNorwich City 18 shots, Birmingham City 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsNorwich City 9 shots, Birmingham City 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.32 xGNorwich City 1.4 xG, Birmingham City 1.32 xG
  • Possession62%38%Norwich City 62%, Birmingham City 38%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersNorwich City 6 corners, Birmingham City 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsNorwich City 6 fouls, Birmingham City 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Liam Gibbs · Norwich City · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Chrisene · Norwich City · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 67′ · 0.07 xG · goalParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 1′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 5′ · 0.18 xG · goalMohamed Touré · Norwich City · 36′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 13′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 14′ · 0.29 xG · goalAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 29′ · 0.32 xG · on targetKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 47′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.49 xG. Birmingham City: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kenny McLean · Norwich City · 67′Carlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 5′Marvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.49 xG · Birmingham City 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Norwich City
0Draws
2Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Norwich City · Championship4–1
Birmingham City — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Birmingham City · Championship2–0
Norwich City — Birmingham City · Championship3–1
Birmingham City — Norwich City · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City33 matchesBirmingham City33 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.36 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.5 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target32/323.97 shots/match
51.7%Possession32/32● 54.4%
4.56 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.81 corners/match
9.97 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required