Championship · 2025Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeCarrow RoadFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNorwich CitySheffield Wednesday
Shots19 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.83 xG/match0.49 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTony Springett · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiam Gibbs · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Gibbs · Norwich City · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 38′ · 0.05 xG · goalParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 12′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 27′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJoe Emery · Sheffield Wednesday · 83′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 31′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 31′ · 0.57 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 31′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.78 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 31′Paris Maghoma · Norwich City · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 2.78 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average.

5.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season8.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots5.2 shots/match8.48 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday.

4.2 daysRest daysNorwich City · Sheffield Wednesday3.32 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNorwich CitySheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days4.2 days3.32 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Norwich City have a visible home split

moderate

Norwich City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match12 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Norwich City
1Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield WednesdayNorwich City · Championship11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Norwich City favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 3 too close

1.32 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/340.59 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/342 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/340.81 xG/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.84 xG/match
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/338.48 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3315.5 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/332.48 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/336.06 shots/match
51.9%Possessionseason · 33/3345.7%
4.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.61 corners/match
5.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/336.27 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3211.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/349%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3444%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Norwich City68.8
Sheffield Wednesday18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Norwich City50.7
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Norwich City44.4
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Norwich City18.8
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Norwich City27.1
Sheffield Wednesday81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Norwich City18.8
Sheffield Wednesday22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Norwich City37.5
Sheffield Wednesday27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.39 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/55.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/51.4 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/541.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.39 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots10/105.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/101.3 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1042.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.59 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed34/342 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals34/340.81 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots33/338.48 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target33/332.48 shots/match
51.9%Possession33/3345.7%
4.52 corners/matchCorners33/334.61 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls33/3211.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/170.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.94 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals17/170.68 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots17/177.53 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target17/172.59 shots/match
54.9%Possession17/1742.7%
5.24 corners/matchCorners17/174.41 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.29 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.32 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match