Championship · 2025St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton 1–0 Norwich City · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 1–0.

Shots
914
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.581.11
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Norwich City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Norwich City): shots 9–14, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.58–1.11, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsSouthampton 9 shots, Norwich City 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsSouthampton 4 shots, Norwich City 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.11 xGSouthampton 0.58 xG, Norwich City 1.11 xG
  • Possession43%57%Southampton 43%, Norwich City 57%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSouthampton 5 corners, Norwich City 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsSouthampton 13 fouls, Norwich City 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenny McLean · Norwich City · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFinn Azaz · Southampton · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Edozie · Southampton · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Southampton · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCaspar Jander · Southampton · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetShea Charles · Southampton · 80′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Southampton · 51′ · 0.12 xG · on targetErrol Mundle-Smith · Norwich City · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 24′ · 0.16 xG · goalKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 67′ · 0.54 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.57 xG. Norwich City: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Finn Azaz · Southampton · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.57 xG · Norwich City 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Southampton
2Draws
2Norwich City
Norwich City — Southampton · Championship2–1
Norwich City — Southampton · Championship1–1
Southampton — Norwich City · Championship4–4
Southampton — Norwich City · Premier League2–0
Norwich City — Southampton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Norwich City in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton38 matchesNorwich City38 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.34 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.21 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.26 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots37/3712.2 shots/match
5.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/374.32 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession37/3752.4%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners37/374.81 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls36/379.92 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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