Championship · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticNorwich City
Shots12 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.36 xG/match1.44 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners7 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ali Ahmed · Norwich City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 5′ · 0.03 xG · goalTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuke Chambers · Charlton Athletic · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Gibbs · Norwich City · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.12 xG · on targetParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 71′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 65′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 68′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 64′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 26′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedHarry Clarke · Charlton Athletic · 66′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedHarry Clarke · Charlton Athletic · 65′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.40 xG. Norwich City: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.40 xG · Norwich City 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, Norwich City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, Norwich City.

7.1 daysRest daysCharlton Athletic · Norwich City2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days7.1 days2.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Charlton Athletic
0Draws
1Norwich City
Norwich CityCharlton Athletic · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Norwich City in 6 · 6 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 39/391.33 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 39/391.18 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 39/391.27 xG/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 39/391.38 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3812.3 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3812.4 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/384.34 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/383.82 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 38/3852.6%
4.16 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/384.87 corners/match
4.84 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/385.34 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/389.82 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 39/3923%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 39/3979%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic6.2
Norwich City72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Norwich City59
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic43.7
Norwich City63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic43.8
Norwich City18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic89.6
Norwich City18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic6.2
Norwich City47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic29.1
Norwich City46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.36 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/56.2 shots/match
44%Possession5/557%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.5 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.44 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/1013.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/105.6 shots/match
41.3%Possession10/1056.7%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

39 / 39 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored39/391.33 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed39/391.18 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals39/391.27 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots38/3812.3 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target38/384.34 shots/match
43.3%Possession38/3852.6%
4.16 corners/matchCorners38/384.87 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls37/389.82 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 20 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/201.45 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed19/201.15 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals19/201.23 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots19/1910.7 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target19/194.32 shots/match
45%Possession19/1949.7%
5.11 corners/matchCorners19/194.21 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1910.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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