Championship · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

Wrexham

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedWrexham
Shots21 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.8 xG/match1.29 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Callum Doyle · Wrexham · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKi-Jana Hoever · Sheffield United · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOliver Arblaster · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZak Vyner · Wrexham · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 35′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTom Davies · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJosh Windass · Wrexham · 15′ · 0.16 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 9′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 20′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.20 xG · goalCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 38′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 11′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 78′ · 0.62 xG · goalAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.92 xG. Wrexham: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andre Brooks · Sheffield United · 49′Josh Windass · Wrexham · 54′Sam Smith · Wrexham · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.92 xG · Wrexham 1.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Wrexham. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Wrexham have a visible away split

strong

Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.16 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.16 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Wrexham.

7 daysRest daysSheffield United · Wrexham3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedWrexhamBaseline
Rest days7 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Wrexham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wrexham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield United
0Draws
1Wrexham
WrexhamSheffield United · Championship53

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Wrexham in 4 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 39/391.54 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 39/391.31 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 39/391.18 xG/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 39/391.32 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3811.3 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3813.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/383.79 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/384.32 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 38/3847.8%
6.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/384.47 corners/match
5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/385.53 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/379.62 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 39/3926%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 39/3987%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United60.4
Wrexham35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United65.3
Wrexham46.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United31.9
Wrexham23.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United68.8
Wrexham27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United47.9
Wrexham10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9
Wrexham14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United69.3
Wrexham20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.85 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/59.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.2 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/548.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.09 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
53.1%Possession10/1050.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

39 / 39 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored39/391.54 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed39/391.31 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals39/391.18 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots38/3811.3 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target38/383.79 shots/match
51.4%Possession38/3847.8%
6.71 corners/matchCorners38/384.47 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls37/379.62 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.11 goals/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.87 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots19/198.16 shots/match
4.84 shots/matchShots on target19/192.84 shots/match
56.6%Possession19/1944.5%
7.47 corners/matchCorners19/193.58 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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