Championship · 2025St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton 2–0 Oxford United · Championship

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 2–0.

Shots
209
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.151.07
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Oxford United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Oxford United): shots 20–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.15–1.07, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oxford United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Southampton.

2.8 days ▲Rest daysSouthampton · Oxford United7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSouthamptonOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.8 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionSouthampton · Oxford United39.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonOxford UnitedBaseline
Possession56.8%39.4%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsSouthampton 20 shots, Oxford United 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotSouthampton 7 shots, Oxford United 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.07 xGSouthampton 2.15 xG, Oxford United 1.07 xG
  • Possession69%31%Southampton 69%, Oxford United 31%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSouthampton 6 corners, Oxford United 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsSouthampton 9 fouls, Oxford United 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Shea Charles · Southampton · 13′ · 0.01 xG · goalRyan Manning · Southampton · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyan Manning · Southampton · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Fellows · Southampton · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYunus Konak · Oxford United · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Southampton · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFinn Azaz · Southampton · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedShea Charles · Southampton · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetShea Charles · Southampton · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMyles Peart-Harris · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTom Fellows · Southampton · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicholas Oyekunle · Southampton · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 48′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 71′ · 0.28 xG · on targetRoss Stewart · Southampton · 76′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Southampton · 6′ · 0.51 xG · goalWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 66′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 20 shots, 7 on target, 2.12 xG. Oxford United: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Cyle Larin · Southampton · 6′Shea Charles · Southampton · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 2.12 xG · Oxford United 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
0Draws
1Oxford United
Oxford United — Southampton · Championship2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Oxford United in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton39 matchesOxford United39 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored39/390.92 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed39/391.31 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals39/391.04 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots38/3811.7 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/383.34 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession38/3839.4%
5.66 corners/match ●Corners38/383.87 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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