PitchMath
Championship · 2025Deepdale

Preston North End 1–1 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End and Queens Park Rangers drew 1–1.

Shots
818
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.630.94
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End and Queens Park Rangers drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Queens Park Rangers): shots 8–18, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.63–0.94, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Queens Park Rangers.

3 days ▲Rest daysPreston North End · Queens Park Rangers3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndQueens Park RangersBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsPreston North End 8 shots, Queens Park Rangers 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsPreston North End 2 shots, Queens Park Rangers 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG0.94 xGPreston North End 0.63 xG, Queens Park Rangers 0.94 xG
  • Possession51%49%Preston North End 51%, Queens Park Rangers 49%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersPreston North End 2 corners, Queens Park Rangers 6 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls8 foulsPreston North End 4 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Varane · Queens Park Rangers · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKieran Morgan · Queens Park Rangers · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKieran Morgan · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKwame Poku · Queens Park Rangers · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKieran Morgan · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Queens Park Rangers · 82′ · 0.10 xG · goalBrad Potts · Preston North End · 46′ · 0.12 xG · goalLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 19′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 84′ · 0.18 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Brad Potts · Preston North End · 46′Thierry Small · Queens Park Rangers · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 0.60 xG · Queens Park Rangers 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Preston North End
1Draws
4Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers — Preston North End · Championship1–1
Preston North End — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Queens Park Rangers — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Queens Park Rangers — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End41 matchesQueens Park Rangers41 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored41/41▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed41/411.54 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals41/41▲ 1.18 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots40/40▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target40/40▲ 4 shots/match
45.1%Possession40/40● 45.4%
4.15 corners/matchCorners40/40● 4.75 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls40/3910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples41 / 41home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndQueens Park Rangers
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPreston North End — Queens Park Rangers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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