Championship · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayLeicester City
Shots6 shots/match24 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match12 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match2.55 xG/match
Possession31%69%
Corners1 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Winks · Leicester City · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDujuan Richards · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDivine Mukasa · Leicester City · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 84′ · 0.06 xG · goalCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 25′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 7′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNathaniel Chalobah · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Otegbayo · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDominic Iorfa · Sheffield Wednesday · 42′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 79′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetOliver Skipp · Leicester City · 26′ · 0.37 xG · on targetRicardo Pereira · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.64 xG · on targetJerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.23 xG. Leicester City: 24 shots, 12 on target, 2.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.23 xG · Leicester City 2.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Leicester City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Leicester City.

3 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · Leicester City3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.55 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Leicester City12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayLeicester CityBaseline
Shots8.55 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield Wednesday
0Draws
1Leicester City
Leicester CitySheffield Wednesday · Championship21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Leicester City in 11 · 3 too close

0.61 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 41/411.32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 41/411.54 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 41/411.09 xG/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 41/411.43 xG/match
8.55 shots/matchShotsseason · 40/4012.2 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 40/4012.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 40/404.05 shots/match
6.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 40/404.18 shots/match
44.7%Possessionseason · 40/4051.6%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 40/404.83 corners/match
6.28 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 40/405.78 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 39/4010.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 41/4112%
49%Scoring frequencyseason · 41/4183%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday14.6
Leicester City64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Leicester City54.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday3.5
Leicester City26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Leicester City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday77.1
Leicester City47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday14.6
Leicester City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday24
Leicester City50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.67 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/518.6 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.8 shots/match
39.4%Possession5/557.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.21 xG/match
8.3 shots/matchShots10/1014.4 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target10/105.4 shots/match
39.3%Possession10/1051.7%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

41 / 41 matches
0.61 goals/matchGoals scored41/411.32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed41/411.54 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals41/411.09 xG/match
8.55 shots/matchShots40/4012.2 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target40/404.05 shots/match
44.7%Possession40/4051.6%
4.38 corners/matchCorners40/404.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls39/4010.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

21 / 21 matches
0.52 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.24 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.08 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots20/2011 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target20/204.2 shots/match
45.8%Possession20/2048.9%
4.6 corners/matchCorners20/203.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2011 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples41 / 41home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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