PitchMath
Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–2 Preston North End · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End won 1–2.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.321.32
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End beat Charlton Athletic 2–1. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Preston North End): shots 17–14, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.32–1.32, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Preston North End's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsCharlton Athletic 17 shots, Preston North End 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCharlton Athletic 6 shots, Preston North End 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.32 xGCharlton Athletic 1.32 xG, Preston North End 1.32 xG
  • Possession45%55%Charlton Athletic 45%, Preston North End 55%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersCharlton Athletic 7 corners, Preston North End 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsCharlton Athletic 6 fouls, Preston North End 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Fullah · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuke Berry · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrad Potts · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 18′ · 0.11 xG · goalDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 20′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 85′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBrad Potts · Preston North End · 43′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBrad Potts · Preston North End · 65′ · 0.20 xG · goalMatt Godden · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 25′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG. Preston North End: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 18′Lewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 25′Brad Potts · Preston North End · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.32 xG · Preston North End 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlton Athletic
0Draws
1Preston North End
Preston North End — Charlton Athletic · Championship2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic42 matchesPreston North End42 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored42/42▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed42/421.26 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals42/42▲ 1.1 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots41/4110.6 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target41/413.44 shots/match
43.3%Possession41/41● 45.3%
4.27 corners/match ●Corners41/414.15 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls40/4110.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples42 / 42home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlton AthleticPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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