Championship · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedHull City
Shots15 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.36 xG/match1.2 xG/match
Possession67%33%
Corners15 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls4 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

John Lundstram · Hull City · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewie Coyle · Hull City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiam Millar · Hull City · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewie Coyle · Hull City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 10′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 5′ · 0.12 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 30′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 33′ · 0.15 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 34′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 44′ · 0.30 xG · on targetDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.32 xG · goalGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.21 xG. Hull City: 18 shots, 5 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 85′Danny Ings · Sheffield United · 88′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.21 xG · Hull City 0.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hull City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hull City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hull City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/matchShotsSheffield United · Hull City11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedHull CityBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield United
0Draws
1Hull City
Hull CitySheffield United · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Hull City in 3 · 5 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 42/421.52 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 42/421.43 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 42/421.3 xG/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 42/421.73 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 41/4111.1 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 41/4114.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 41/414.05 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 41/414.8 shots/match
51.8%Possessionseason · 41/4145.8%
6.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 41/414.49 corners/match
4.9 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 41/415.88 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 40/4111.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 42/4226%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 42/4281%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United64.6
Hull City27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United70.2
Hull City54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United34
Hull City10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United64.6
Hull City35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United35.4
Hull City85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United93.8
Hull City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United67.7
Hull City49.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.18 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
53%Possession5/545.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.11 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1044.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

42 / 42 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored42/421.52 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed42/421.43 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals42/421.3 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots41/4111.1 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target41/414.05 shots/match
51.8%Possession41/4145.8%
6.8 corners/matchCorners41/414.49 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls40/4111.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

21 / 21 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.52 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.33 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.12 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots21/2110.5 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target21/214.24 shots/match
56.7%Possession21/2142%
7.67 corners/matchCorners21/214 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls20/2111.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples42 / 42home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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