Championship · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeAshton GateFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBristol CitySheffield United
Shots5 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.36 xG/match1.53 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners0 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDelano Burgzorg · Bristol City · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 25′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMark Sykes · Bristol City · 23′ · 0.13 xG · goalPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 65′ · 0.29 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 56′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG. Sheffield United: 21 shots, 7 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mark Sykes · Bristol City · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 0.34 xG · Sheffield United 1.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bristol City's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Bristol City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bristol City's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Sheffield United.

3 daysRest daysBristol City · Sheffield United3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CitySheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bristol City
0Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield UnitedBristol City · Championship14

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bristol City favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 6 · 6 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 41/411.39 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 41/411.41 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 41/411.52 xG/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 41/411.17 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 40/4013.4 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 40/4012.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 40/404.13 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 40/404.23 shots/match
49.6%Possessionseason · 40/4051.4%
5.05 corners/matchCornersseason · 40/406.6 corners/match
4.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 40/404.93 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.58 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 40/3910.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 41/4122%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 41/4173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bristol City43.8
Sheffield United56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bristol City49.3
Sheffield United68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bristol City34.7
Sheffield United36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bristol City52.1
Sheffield United64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bristol City10.4
Sheffield United43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bristol City52.1
Sheffield United93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bristol City41.1
Sheffield United69.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.57 xG/match
7.8 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/547.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.43 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots10/1013.5 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
52.8%Possession10/1052.5%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

41 / 41 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored41/411.39 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed41/411.41 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals41/411.52 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots40/4013.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target40/404.13 shots/match
49.6%Possession40/4051.4%
5.05 corners/matchCorners40/406.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.58 fouls/matchFouls40/3910.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

21 / 21 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.14 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.52 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.27 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots20/2011.3 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target20/203.45 shots/match
53.6%Possession20/2046.6%
5.05 corners/matchCorners20/205.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples41 / 41home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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