PitchMath
Championship · 2025St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Birmingham City 2–0 Wrexham · Championship

2–0Historical match

Wrexham

WLWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Birmingham City won 2–0.

Shots
154
Shots on target
80
Expected goals
1.570.08
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–0. Recorded in this match (Birmingham City – Wrexham): shots 15–4, shots on target 8–0, expected goals 1.57–0.08, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Birmingham City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible home split

strong

Birmingham City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wrexham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wrexham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBirmingham City · Wrexham11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBirmingham CityWrexhamBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots4 shotsBirmingham City 15 shots, Wrexham 4 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots0 shotsBirmingham City 8 shots, Wrexham 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.08 xGBirmingham City 1.57 xG, Wrexham 0.08 xG
  • Possession45%55%Birmingham City 45%, Wrexham 55%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBirmingham City 6 corners, Wrexham 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsBirmingham City 10 fouls, Wrexham 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJhon Solís · Birmingham City · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 48′ · 0.05 xG · goalCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 19′ · 0.25 xG · on targetChristoph Klarer · Birmingham City · 71′ · 0.28 xG · goalCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 45′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Birmingham City: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.59 xG. Wrexham: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Carlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 48′Christoph Klarer · Birmingham City · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Birmingham City 1.59 xG · Wrexham 0.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Birmingham City
2Draws
0Wrexham
Wrexham — Birmingham City · Championship1–1
Wrexham — Birmingham City · League One1–1
Birmingham City — Wrexham · League One3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Birmingham City favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Wrexham in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Birmingham City42 matchesWrexham42 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored42/42▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed42/421.43 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals42/421.17 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots41/4111.1 shots/match
4.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target41/413.63 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession41/4148.2%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners41/414.44 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls41/409.68 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples42 / 42home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBirmingham CityWrexham
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headBirmingham City — Wrexham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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