Championship · 2025Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticIpswich Town
Shots6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.33 xG/match1.87 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJayden Fevrier · Charlton Athletic · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 36′ · 0.04 xG · goalIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJayden Fevrier · Charlton Athletic · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 1′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 1′ · 0.15 xG · goalIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 23′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.33 xG. Ipswich Town: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Greg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 1′Darnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 36′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 0.33 xG · Ipswich Town 1.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town.

4.2 daysRest daysCharlton Athletic · Ipswich Town3.32 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticIpswich TownBaseline
Rest days4.2 days3.32 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/matchShotsCharlton Athletic · Ipswich Town14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticIpswich TownBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Charlton Athletic
0Draws
0Ipswich Town
Ipswich TownCharlton Athletic · Championship03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 11 · 3 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 44/431.74 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 44/431.05 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 44/431.66 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 44/431 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 43/4214.7 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 43/4210.2 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 43/425 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 43/423.38 shots/match
42.9%Possessionseason · 43/4256.1%
4.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 43/425.4 corners/match
5.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 43/424.02 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 42/4211.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 44/4335%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 44/4388%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic6.2
Ipswich Town89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Ipswich Town89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic34.7
Ipswich Town91
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic52.1
Ipswich Town72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic89.6
Ipswich Town72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic6.2
Ipswich Town68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic29.7
Ipswich Town80.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.86 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
39.8%Possession5/553%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
14 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.79 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots10/1014.4 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
41.9%Possession10/1058.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

44 / 43 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored44/431.74 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed44/431.05 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals44/431.66 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots43/4214.7 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target43/425 shots/match
42.9%Possession43/4256.1%
4.14 corners/matchCorners43/425.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls42/4211.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

22 / 21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/211.67 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed22/211.33 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals22/211.43 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots22/2113.5 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target22/214.38 shots/match
44.7%Possession22/2156.9%
5.09 corners/matchCorners22/215 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.32 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples44 / 43home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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