Championship · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionIpswich Town
Shots12 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.3 xG/match1.07 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaniel Imray · West Bromwich Albion · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDaryl Dike · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.21 xG · on targetGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 81′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDaryl Dike · West Bromwich Albion · 23′ · 0.42 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 33′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.25 xG. Ipswich Town: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.25 xG · Ipswich Town 1.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Ipswich Town.

3.7 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Ipswich Town2.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionIpswich TownBaseline
Rest days3.7 days2.7 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches4 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
1Ipswich Town
Ipswich TownWest Bromwich Albion · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 7 · 6 too close

1.04 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 45/441.7 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 45/441.02 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 45/441.64 xG/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 45/441.01 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 45/4314.7 shots/match
10.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 45/4310.2 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 45/434.95 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 45/433.44 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 45/4356%
5.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 45/435.42 corners/match
3.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 45/433.98 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 45/4311.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 45/4436%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 45/4486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Ipswich Town89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion45.2
Ipswich Town89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion79.9
Ipswich Town91
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion72.9
Ipswich Town68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion31.2
Ipswich Town72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Ipswich Town68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion51
Ipswich Town80.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.71 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/552.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.74 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1014.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
50%Possession10/1057.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

45 / 44 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored45/441.7 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed45/441.02 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals45/441.64 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots45/4314.7 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target45/434.95 shots/match
51.4%Possession45/4356%
5.22 corners/matchCorners45/435.42 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls45/4311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

23 / 22 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored23/221.59 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed23/221.27 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals23/221.42 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots23/2213.5 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target23/224.32 shots/match
53.4%Possession23/2256.7%
6.09 corners/matchCorners23/225.05 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2211.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.7 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples45 / 44home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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