Championship · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayWest Bromwich Albion
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.28 xG/match1.87 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Oliver Bostock · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOlaf Kobacki · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJerry Yates · Sheffield Wednesday · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · West Bromwich Albion · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTayo Adaramola · Sheffield Wednesday · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 26′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOliver Bostock · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMax Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSouleyman Mandey · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDaryl Dike · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 16′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 35′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNathaniel Chalobah · Sheffield Wednesday · 36′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Chalobah · Sheffield Wednesday · 36′ · 0.26 xG · goalLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 40′ · 0.37 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 82′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.52 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nathaniel Chalobah · Sheffield Wednesday · 36′Liam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 40′Karlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.52 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.59 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.62 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · West Bromwich Albion13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots8.62 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, West Bromwich Albion.

6.9 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · West Bromwich Albion7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days6.9 days7 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield Wednesday
1Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich AlbionSheffield Wednesday · Championship00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 11 · 3 too close

0.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 46/461.04 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 46/461.26 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 46/461.24 xG/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 46/461.02 xG/match
8.62 shots/matchShotsseason · 45/4613.4 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 45/4610.6 shots/match
2.49 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 45/464.07 shots/match
5.98 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 45/463.24 shots/match
44.7%Possessionseason · 45/4651.7%
4.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 45/465.15 corners/match
6.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 45/463.96 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 44/4610.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 46/4630%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 46/4667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday12.5
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
West Bromwich Albion43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
West Bromwich Albion81.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday85.4
West Bromwich Albion22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday10.4
West Bromwich Albion47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday25
West Bromwich Albion45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.52 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/554.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.5 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.6 xG/match
9.1 shots/matchShots10/1013.7 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
42.1%Possession10/1052.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

46 / 46 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored46/461.04 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed46/461.26 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals46/461.24 xG/match
8.62 shots/matchShots45/4613.4 shots/match
2.49 shots/matchShots on target45/464.07 shots/match
44.7%Possession45/4651.7%
4.29 corners/matchCorners45/465.15 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls44/4610.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

23 / 23 matches
0.61 goals/matchGoals scored23/230.87 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.43 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.11 xG/match
9.27 shots/matchShots22/2311.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target22/233.52 shots/match
46.4%Possession22/2349.9%
4.73 corners/matchCorners22/234.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2310.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples46 / 46home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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