Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Portsmouth and Birmingham City drew 1–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.741.67
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Portsmouth and Birmingham City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Birmingham City): shots 14–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.74–1.67, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portsmouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

strong

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.95 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.95 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portsmouth, Birmingham City.

6.9 days ▲Rest daysPortsmouth · Birmingham City6.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthBirmingham CityBaseline
Rest days6.9 days6.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsPortsmouth 14 shots, Birmingham City 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsPortsmouth 2 shots, Birmingham City 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.67 xGPortsmouth 0.74 xG, Birmingham City 1.67 xG
  • Possession52%48%Portsmouth 52%, Birmingham City 48%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersPortsmouth 3 corners, Birmingham City 9 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsPortsmouth 19 fouls, Birmingham City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kai Wagner · Birmingham City · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Portsmouth · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Birmingham City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbane Bowat · Portsmouth · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Portsmouth · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Birmingham City · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 8′ · 0.05 xG · goalAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 43′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 74′ · 0.11 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 19′ · 0.16 xG · goalAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 36′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 12′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG. Birmingham City: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 8′August Priske · Birmingham City · 19′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 0.55 xG · Birmingham City 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Portsmouth
0Draws
1Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Portsmouth · Championship4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth46 matchesBirmingham City46 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored46/46▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed46/46▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals46/46▲ 1.35 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots45/45▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target45/45▲ 4.18 shots/match
50.2%Possession45/45● 54.1%
5.62 corners/matchCorners45/45● 5.82 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls45/4511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples46 / 46home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required