PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 3–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.520.37
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat KV Mechelen 3–0. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – KV Mechelen): shots 14–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.52–0.37, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · KV Mechelen9.95 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV MechelenBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match9.95 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 14 shots, KV Mechelen 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 shots, KV Mechelen 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.52 xG0.37 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.52 xG, KV Mechelen 0.37 xG
  • Possession43%57%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 43%, KV Mechelen 57%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 corners, KV Mechelen 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 11 fouls, KV Mechelen 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 card, KV Mechelen 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 73′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 81′ · 0.23 xG · on targetKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 11′ · 0.39 xG · goalMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goalAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 61′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.53 xG. KV Mechelen: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Mateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 11′Anouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 61′Mohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 2.53 xG · KV Mechelen 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
2Draws
1KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise39 matchesKV Mechelen39 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored39/391.23 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed39/391.44 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/371.13 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots39/399.95 shots/match
5.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target39/393.69 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession39/3949.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners39/394.64 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards30/302.3 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls39/3910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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