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Belgian Pro League · 2025Lotto Park

RSC Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht and KV Mechelen drew 2–2.

Shots
139
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
0.941.16
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Anderlecht and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Anderlecht – KV Mechelen): shots 13–9, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 0.94–1.16, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Anderlecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Anderlecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAnderlecht · KV Mechelen9.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtKV MechelenBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match9.93 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsRSC Anderlecht 13 shots, KV Mechelen 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsRSC Anderlecht 9 shots, KV Mechelen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.16 xGRSC Anderlecht 0.94 xG, KV Mechelen 1.16 xG
  • Possession59%41%RSC Anderlecht 59%, KV Mechelen 41%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersRSC Anderlecht 2 corners, KV Mechelen 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsRSC Anderlecht 16 fouls, KV Mechelen 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsRSC Anderlecht 0 cards, KV Mechelen 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nathan De Cat · Anderlecht · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCésar Huerta · Anderlecht · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanylo Sikan · Anderlecht · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnric Llansana · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDanylo Sikan · Anderlecht · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 60′ · 0.06 xG · goalCésar Huerta · Anderlecht · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanylo Sikan · Anderlecht · 29′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 17′ · 0.14 xG · goalIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 38′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 22′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 15′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Anderlecht: 13 shots, 9 on target, 0.94 xG. KV Mechelen: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 17′Ilay Camara · Anderlecht · 90′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 15′Thérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Anderlecht 0.94 xG · KV Mechelen 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4RSC Anderlecht
0Draws
1KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–2
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–0
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–1
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RSC Anderlecht favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RSC Anderlecht40 matchesKV Mechelen40 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored40/401.25 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed40/401.45 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.13 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots40/409.93 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target40/403.68 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession40/4049.4%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners40/404.58 corners/match
2.87 cards/matchCards31/302.3 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls40/4010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples40 / 40home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRSC AnderlechtKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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