Belgian Pro League · 2025

Lommel SK 3–2 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lommel SK won 3–2.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
73
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lommel SK beat FCV Dender 3–2. Recorded in this match (Lommel SK – FCV Dender): shots 17–17, shots on target 7–3, possession 57%–43%, corners 6–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsLommel SK 17 shots, FCV Dender 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLommel SK 7 shots, FCV Dender 3 shots
  • Possession57%43%Lommel SK 57%, FCV Dender 43%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersLommel SK 6 corners, FCV Dender 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls19 foulsLommel SK 6 fouls, FCV Dender 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJason van Duiven · Lommel SK · 15′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLautaro López · Lommel SK · 30′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 47′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 56′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJhon Banguera · Lommel SK · 69′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah El Boukammiri · Lommel SK · 69′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 77′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah El Boukammiri · Lommel SK · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetLautaro López · Lommel SK · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJason van Duiven · Lommel SK · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Reyners · Lommel SK · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDesmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 43′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJhon Banguera · Lommel SK · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAmine Daali · FCV Dender · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLautaro López · Lommel SK · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah El Boukammiri · Lommel SK · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJhon Banguera · Lommel SK · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Schoofs · Lommel SK · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJason van Duiven · Lommel SK · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDesmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 34′ · 0.10 xG · goalRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 55′ · 0.10 xG · goalMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 83′ · 0.10 xG · goalRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 86′ · 0.10 xG · goalZalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lommel SK: 17 shots, 7 on target, 0.54 xG. FCV Dender: 17 shots, 3 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ralf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 55′Ralf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 86′Zalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 90′Desmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 34′Mohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lommel SK 0.54 xG · FCV Dender 0.40 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lommel SK favored in 6 of 9 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lommel SK10 matchesFCV Dender37 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/370.89 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed10/371.76 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots10/3711 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/373.73 shots/match
46.2%Possession10/37● 47.8%
3.8 corners/match ●Corners10/373.78 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/3711.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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