Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 23 May 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

LLWLL

0–0Full-time recap

Lommel SK

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	Lommel SK
Shots	18 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	8 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FCV Dender: 18 shots, 4 on target, 0.38 xG. Lommel SK: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 0.38 xG · Lommel SK 0.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Lommel SK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.87 goals/match	1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lommel SK have a visible away split

moderate

Lommel SK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.83 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.5 shots/match	9.83 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lommel SK.

6.09 days▲Rest daysFCV Dender · Lommel SK6.09 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	FCV Dender	Lommel SK	Baseline
Rest days	6.09 days	6.09 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	4 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0FCV Dender

0Draws

1Lommel SK

17 May 2026Lommel SK — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Lommel SK in 6 · 5 too close

0.87 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/12▲2.33 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/0—

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/0—

11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/129.83 shots/match

15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/1215.8 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/12▲4.5 shots/match

5.05 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/12▲4.33 shots/match

48.1%●Possessionseason · 38/1245.3%

3.89 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/123.5 corners/match

5.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 38/127.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/129.67 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/12▲33%

66%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/12▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender32.5

Lommel SK12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender17.5

Lommel SK54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender14.2

Lommel SK50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender22.5

Lommel SK7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender72.5

Lommel SK2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender10

Lommel SK2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender32.5

Lommel SK17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender38 matchesLommel SK12 matches

0.87 goals/matchGoals scored38/12▲2.33 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed38/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals36/0—

11.2 shots/match▲Shots38/129.83 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target38/12▲4.5 shots/match

48.1%●Possession38/1245.3%

3.89 corners/match●Corners38/123.5 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls38/129.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender19 matchesLommel SK6 matches

0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/6▲1.67 goals/match

1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed19/6▲0.67 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals18/0—

11.5 shots/match▲Shots19/67.5 shots/match

3.42 shots/matchShots on target19/63.33 shots/match

50.3%●Possession19/637.7%

3.89 corners/match●Corners19/62.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls19/610.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4