PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 3–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.281.73
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk beat KVC Westerlo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Genk – KVC Westerlo): shots 15–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.28–1.73, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KVC Westerlo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk have a visible home split

moderate

Genk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.4% ●PossessionGenk · KVC Westerlo49.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenkKVC WesterloBaseline
Possession58.4%49.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsKRC Genk 15 shots, KVC Westerlo 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsKRC Genk 4 shots, KVC Westerlo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.73 xGKRC Genk 1.28 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.73 xG
  • Possession50%50%KRC Genk 50%, KVC Westerlo 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersKRC Genk 6 corners, KVC Westerlo 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsKRC Genk 12 fouls, KVC Westerlo 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKRC Genk 1 card, KVC Westerlo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aaron Bibout · Genk · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kayembe · Genk · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFernand Gouré · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRobin Mirisola · Genk · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAaron Bibout · Genk · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 69′ · 0.11 xG · goalAugust De Wannemacker · Genk · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 59′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 80′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 84′ · 0.18 xG · goalAaron Bibout · Genk · 64′ · 0.20 xG · goalZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 3′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 82′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG. KVC Westerlo: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Aaron Bibout · Genk · 64′Robin Mirisola · Genk · 69′Junya Ito · Genk · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 1.43 xG · KVC Westerlo 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KRC Genk
1Draws
0KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk39 matchesKVC Westerlo39 matches
1.51 goals/match ▲Goals scored39/391.31 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed39/391.44 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.51 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots39/3914.6 shots/match
5.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target39/394.72 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession39/3949.5%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners39/395.18 corners/match
1.46 cards/matchCards28/311.94 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls39/3911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples39 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required