PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino 2–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Sport Recife.

4.85 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Sport Recife4.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoSport RecifeBaseline
Rest days4.85 days4.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
0Draws
3Sport Recife
Novorizontino — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1
Sport Recife — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Sport Recife · Serie B1–3
Sport Recife — Novorizontino · Serie B1–2
Sport Recife — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino25 matchesSport Recife25 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.32 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/250.96 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/101.24 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots11/1013.7 shots/match
5.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/104.3 shots/match
48.6%Possession11/10● 54.3%
6.91 corners/match ●Corners11/105.6 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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