PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 2–1 Londrina · Serie B

Ceará

LWWLL
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ceara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceara, Londrina. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ceara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceara, Londrina.

4 days ▲Rest daysCeara · Londrina4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearaLondrinaBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
1Draws
0Londrina
Londrina — Ceará · Serie B0–0
Ceará — Londrina · Serie B3–1
Londrina — Ceará · Serie B1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará24 matchesLondrina24 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.5 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals8/11▲ 1.15 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots8/1112.7 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/113.73 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession8/1145.3%
6 corners/match ●Corners8/115.64 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/1113.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Londrina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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