PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC 0–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 0–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vila Nova's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Vila Nova's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vila Nova FC
1Draws
3Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1
Vila Nova FC — Sport Recife · Serie B2–0
Sport Recife — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Sport Recife · Serie B0–1
Sport Recife — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC21 matchesSport Recife21 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.24 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.17 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.4 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84 shots/match
53.8%Possession8/8● 54.1%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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