PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 2–1 América Mineiro · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo-SP
1Draws
2América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2
Botafogo-SP — América Mineiro · Serie B2–1
América Mineiro — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–1
Botafogo-SP — América Mineiro · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP21 matchesAmérica Mineiro21 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.71 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals11/101.19 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1011.7 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/103.6 shots/match
49%Possession11/10● 50.5%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners11/104.1 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1014 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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