PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC 1–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vila Nova FC
1Draws
2Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1
Botafogo-SP — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0
Vila Nova FC — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC12 matchesBotafogo-SP12 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121 goal/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/61.2 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/614 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/63.67 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession5/651.5%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/6● 6.5 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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