Serie B · 2026Estadio Primeiro de Maio

São Bernardo 3–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

São Bernardo won 3–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 4 of 4 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo7 matchesPonte Preta7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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