Botafogo-SP 1–1 Náutico — Full-Time Result

Serie B · 2026Sat, 2 May 2026, 19:00 UTCEstadio Santa Cruz

Botafogo-SP

WLLDD

1–1Full-time analysis

Náutico

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP and Náutico drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 2 of 4 directional metrics · Náutico in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP7 matchesNáutico7 matches

1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

1 goal/matchGoals allowed7/71 goal/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4