PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Unión La Calera vs Universidad de Concepción · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
10.75
Expected goals
0.741.35
Shots
10.612.3
Possession
50.2%48.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: union La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Union La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión La Calera favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión La Calera24 matchesUniversidad de Concepción24 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored24/240.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.67 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals4/6▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 3.92 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession24/2448.6%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners24/244.96 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/64.17 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Unión La Calera
1Draws
0Universidad de Concepción
Universidad de Concepción — Unión La Calera · Primera División0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness50 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión La CaleraUniversidad de Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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