PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Huachipato vs Deportes Concepción · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.421.08
Expected goals
1.130.72
Shots
11.513.4
Possession
45.4%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: concepción's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Concepción's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Concepción show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHuachipato · Concepción13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHuachipatoConcepciónBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 7 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato24 matchesDeportes Concepción24 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.08 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.72 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.79 shots/match
45.4%Possession24/24● 46.6%
3.75 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.46 corners/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Huachipato
0Draws
1Deportes Concepción
Deportes Concepción — Huachipato · Primera División2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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