PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Universidad de Concepción vs Deportes Limache · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.771.87
Expected goals
1.352.2
Shots
12.312.2
Possession
48.5%46%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportes Limache's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: deportes Limache's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Deportes Limache's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes Limache's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Limache have a visible away split

moderate

Deportes Limache's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Concepción favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Limache in 7 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Concepción22 matchesDeportes Limache23 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored22/23▲ 1.87 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed22/23▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals6/3▲ 2.2 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2312.2 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/23▲ 4.91 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession22/2346%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners22/234.3 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards4/73.57 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/239.17 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad de Concepción
0Draws
1Deportes Limache
Deportes Limache — Universidad de Concepción · Primera División3–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ConcepciónDeportes Limache
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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