PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Palestino 2–3 Universidad Católica · Primera División

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 2–3.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
66
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Palestino 3–2. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Universidad Católica): shots 14–14, shots on target 6–6, possession 58%–42%, corners 6–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsPalestino 14 shots, Universidad Católica 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsPalestino 6 shots, Universidad Católica 6 shots
  • Possession58%42%Palestino 58%, Universidad Católica 42%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersPalestino 6 corners, Universidad Católica 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls22 foulsPalestino 9 fouls, Universidad Católica 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsPalestino 2 cards, Universidad Católica 4 cards
  • Passes415 passes314 passesPalestino 415 passes, Universidad Católica 314 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%78%Palestino 83.6%, Universidad Católica 78%
  • Shots inside box5 shots5 shotsPalestino 5 shots, Universidad Católica 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksPalestino 1 block, Universidad Católica 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesPalestino 3 saves, Universidad Católica 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsidePalestino 4 offsides, Universidad Católica 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Palestino
2Draws
3Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División6–1
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División2–1
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División1–1
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 3 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino23 matchesUniversidad Católica23 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.43 goals/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots23/2313.1 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target23/234.61 shots/match
52.1%Possession23/23● 54%
4.74 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.04 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards7/104.3 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headPalestino — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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