Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Concepción vs Audax Italiano · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.091.14
Expected goals
0.720.93
Shots
13.511.4
Possession
47.4%49.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Concepción, A. Italiano. Alongside it: concepción's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Concepción, A. Italiano.

1.15 days ▲Rest daysConcepción · A. Italiano1.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricConcepciónA. ItalianoBaseline
Rest days1.15 days1.15 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

weak

Concepción's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 0 · 8 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción22 matchesAudax Italiano22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.41 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals4/6▲ 0.93 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.4 shots/match
3.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.27 shots/match
47.4%Possession22/22● 49.4%
4.55 corners/match ●Corners22/223.86 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards6/73.29 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls22/229.68 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Concepción
0Draws
2Audax Italiano
Deportes Concepción — Audax Italiano · Primera División0–1
Audax Italiano — Deportes Concepción · Primera División3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness1 dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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