Universidad Católica
Primera División · 2026Universidad Católica 1–2 Ñublense · Primera División
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Ñublense won 1–2.
- Shots
- 10–14
- Shots on target
- 1–7
- Possession
- 42%–58%
Full time
What the match recorded
Nublense beat U. Catolica 2–1. Recorded in this match (U. Catolica – Nublense): shots 10–14, shots on target 1–7, possession 42%–58%, corners 2–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Nublense's recent record differs from the season
moderateNublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 goals/match | 1.37 goals/match | 1.35 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Nublense have a visible away split
moderateNublense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.89 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateU. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | U. Catolica | Nublense | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 55.8% | 45.8% | 49.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Universidad Católica favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Universidad Católica / Ñublense
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
More football
Related matches
Coquimbo Unido
Unión La Calera
Huachipato
Deportes Limache
Deportes ConcepciónTeam rankings in Primera División
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.