Primera División · 2026

Universidad de Chile 2–1 Palestino · Primera División

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 2–1.

Shots
208
Shots on target
111
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat Palestino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – Palestino): shots 20–8, shots on target 11–1, possession 53%–47%, corners 5–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palestino have a visible away split

moderate

Palestino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad de Chile have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.1% ●PossessionUniversidad de Chile · Palestino48.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestinoBaseline
Possession57.1%48.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsUniversidad de Chile 20 shots, Palestino 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotUniversidad de Chile 11 shots, Palestino 1 shot
  • Possession53%47%Universidad de Chile 53%, Palestino 47%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersUniversidad de Chile 5 corners, Palestino 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsUniversidad de Chile 9 fouls, Palestino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad de Chile
2Draws
0Palestino
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División0–0
Universidad de Chile — Palestino · Primera División2–1
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División2–3
Universidad de Chile — Palestino · Primera División1–0
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile18 matchesPalestino18 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match
13.4 shots/matchShots18/1813.8 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.39 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession18/1848.3%
5.94 corners/match ●Corners18/184.22 corners/match
4.33 cards/matchCards3/74 cards/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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