Primera División · 2026Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador

Cobresal 3–2 Universidad Católica · Primera División

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cobresal won 3–2.

Shots
1125
Shots on target
86
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal beat U. Catolica 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cobresal – U. Catolica): shots 11–25, shots on target 8–6, possession 36%–64%, corners 5–11. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersCobresal · U. Catolica5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCobresalU. CatolicaBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match5.67 corners/match3.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

U. Catolica show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

U. Catolica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCobresal · U. Catolica17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCobresalU. CatolicaBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match17 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match12 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

U. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%PossessionCobresal · U. Catolica● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCobresalU. CatolicaBaseline
Possession46.3%56.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots25 shotsCobresal 11 shots, Universidad Católica 25 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsCobresal 8 shots, Universidad Católica 6 shots
  • Possession36%64%Cobresal 36%, Universidad Católica 64%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersCobresal 5 corners, Universidad Católica 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsCobresal 9 fouls, Universidad Católica 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsCobresal 2 cards, Universidad Católica 0 cards
  • Passes286 passes504 passesCobresal 286 passes, Universidad Católica 504 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%86%Cobresal 73%, Universidad Católica 86%
  • Shots inside box4 shots20 shotsCobresal 4 shots, Universidad Católica 20 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks6 blocksCobresal 0 blocks, Universidad Católica 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesCobresal 4 saves, Universidad Católica 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideCobresal 4 offsides, Universidad Católica 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cobresal
2Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Cobresal · Primera División2–1
Cobresal — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Cobresal — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–1
Universidad Católica — Cobresal · Primera División2–0
Cobresal — Universidad Católica · Primera División2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobresal favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobresal3 matchesUniversidad Católica3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 17 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
46.3%Possession3/3● 56.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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