Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 7 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledJotun ArenaPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sandefjord
0Draws
0KFUM Oslo
KFUM OsloSandefjord · Eliteserien12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sandefjord favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 2 · 8 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.62 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.06 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1310.7 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.69 shots/match
51.5%Possessionseason · 13/1346.4%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.15 corners/match
6.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.69 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/42.75 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sandefjord65.6
KFUM Oslo34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sandefjord44.8
KFUM Oslo19.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sandefjord61.5
KFUM Oslo53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sandefjord59.4
KFUM Oslo34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord93.8
KFUM Oslo70.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord71.9
KFUM Oslo15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sandefjord71.1
KFUM Oslo31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals5/51 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/59.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/540.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/1
12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.07 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots10/1010.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1042.4%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
Cards0/42.75 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored13/131 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.06 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots13/1310.7 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target13/134 shots/match
51.5%Possession13/1346.4%
6 corners/matchCorners13/134.15 corners/match
Cards0/42.75 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.1 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.5 shots/match
53.5%Possession6/647%
6.67 corners/matchCorners6/63 corners/match
Cards0/2
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match