Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTCScheduledFredrikstad StadionPre-match analysis

Fredrikstad

WDWLL

vsPre-match analysis

Sandefjord

LDLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Fredrikstad have a visible home split

moderate

Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fredrikstad

1Draws

0Sandefjord

25 May 2026Sandefjord — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Sandefjord in 7 · 5 too close

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.12 xG/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.43 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲13.8 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1313.5 shots/match

3.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.15 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.15 shots/match

48.4%Possessionseason · 13/1351.5%

4.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136 corners/match

5.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/136.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲31%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad40.6

Sandefjord65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad18.7

Sandefjord44.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad28.1

Sandefjord61.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad40.6

Sandefjord59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad53.1

Sandefjord93.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad21.9

Sandefjord71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad23.4

Sandefjord71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.81 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

51.6%Possession5/547.8%

4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.3 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/1050.2%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.12 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲13.8 shots/match

3.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.15 shots/match

48.4%Possession13/1351.5%

4.23 corners/matchCorners13/136 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.71 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.06 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots6/713.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match

49%Possession6/749.9%

5 corners/matchCorners6/75.43 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4