Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Start

LWLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Viking

WWLWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Viking's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Viking have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Viking show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Viking's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsStart · Viking14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Viking	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	13.9 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Viking have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.2%▲PossessionStart · Viking50.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Viking	Baseline
Possession	40.2%	50.6%	50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Start

0Draws

1Viking

16 May 2026Viking — Start · Eliteserien6–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Start favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Viking in 11 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/13▲2.54 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲1 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/13▲1.86 xG/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/13▲0.93 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲14.5 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲10.8 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲5.54 shots/match

5.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲2.85 shots/match

40.2%Possessionseason · 14/1350.6%

3.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/136.23 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/13▲5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/32.33 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲31%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Start3.1

Viking53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Start19.8

Viking90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Start21.9

Viking88.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Start84.4

Viking71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Start84.4

Viking59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Start3.1

Viking78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Start32.8

Viking86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.27 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

34.6%Possession5/551.8%

3 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.7 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.76 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.1 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

38.3%Possession10/1051.5%

2.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲2.54 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.86 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots14/13▲14.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲5.54 shots/match

40.2%Possession14/1350.6%

3.29 corners/matchCorners14/136.23 corners/match

—Cards1/32.33 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲0.86 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲1.67 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots6/713.6 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲4.43 shots/match

42.2%Possession6/755.1%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/76.43 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

12 fouls/matchFouls6/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.96 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4