Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 31 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTCScheduledAspmyra StadionPre-match analysis

Bodo/Glimt

WDWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Lillestrom

LLWWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season17.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	21.1 shots/match	17.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lillestrom's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lillestrom show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lillestrom's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match▲ShotsBodo/Glimt · Lillestrom12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Lillestrom	Baseline
Shots	17.1 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	7.79 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bodo/Glimt

0Draws

0Lillestrom

26 Apr 2026Lillestrom — Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodo/Glimt favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 0 · 3 too close

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.57 goals/match

0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141 goals/match

2.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.41 xG/match

0.93 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/141.08 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1412 shots/match

7.79 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1412.2 shots/match

6.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/144.14 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.21 shots/match

65.4%Possessionseason · 14/1452.4%

7.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.07 corners/match

2.07 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

8.86 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1436%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Lillestrom71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Lillestrom53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Lillestrom68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodo/Glimt53.1

Lillestrom28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt3.1

Lillestrom15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Lillestrom53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodo/Glimt73.5

Lillestrom40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

2.25 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.16 xG/match

16.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

62%Possession5/554.6%

7.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

2.26 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.26 xG/match

18.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.3 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

63.7%Possession10/1053.4%

7.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.57 goals/match

0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141 goals/match

2.23 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.41 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shots14/1412 shots/match

6.71 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.14 shots/match

65.4%Possession14/1452.4%

7.29 corners/matchCorners14/145.07 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.86 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

0.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/70.71 goals/match

2.83 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.42 xG/match

21.1 shots/match▲Shots7/713.6 shots/match

8.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.86 shots/match

66%Possession7/749.6%

9.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.43 fouls/matchFouls7/710.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.08 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness9 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4