Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeKristiansund StadionFull-time recap

Kristiansund BK

WLLLD

2–1Full-time recap

Molde

WLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Kristiansund BK	Molde
Shots	10 shots/match	30 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.66 xG/match	3.21 xG/match▲
Possession	32%	68%
Corners	1 corners/match	12 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Kristiansund BK: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.65 xG. Molde: 28 shots, 10 on target, 3.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kristiansund BK 0.65 xG · Molde 3.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Molde's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%▲PossessionKristiansund BK · Molde58.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Kristiansund BK	Molde	Baseline
Possession	40.8%	58.7%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Kristiansund BK

0Draws

1Molde

16 May 2026Molde — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kristiansund BK favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 11 · 3 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.57 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.6 xG/match

1.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.2 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.5 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.64 shots/match

5.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.07 shots/match

40.8%Possessionseason · 14/1458.7%

4.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.43 corners/match

7.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲21%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kristiansund BK3.1

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kristiansund BK16.7

Molde67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kristiansund BK25

Molde67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kristiansund BK78.1

Molde21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kristiansund BK53.1

Molde28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kristiansund BK9.4

Molde53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kristiansund BK27.4

Molde53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

0.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.79 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

41.6%Possession5/559.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.68 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match

42.5%Possession10/1057.3%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.57 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.6 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.64 shots/match

40.8%Possession14/1458.7%

4.07 corners/matchCorners14/145.43 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.6 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.3 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match

42.4%Possession7/760%

3.29 corners/matchCorners7/76.71 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Molde's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match