Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Fredrikstad FK

DWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Kristiansund BK

LLLDW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Fredrikstad FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad FK have a visible home split

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fredrikstad FK

0Draws

1Kristiansund BK

19 Apr 2026Kristiansund BK — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad FK favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 1 · 7 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.93 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.57 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.02 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.69 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1411.8 shots/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1414.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/143.5 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/145.64 shots/match

48.6%Possessionseason · 14/1440.8%

4.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.07 corners/match

5.36 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/147.21 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲14%

71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1457%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad FK40.6

Kristiansund BK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad FK20.8

Kristiansund BK16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad FK36.5

Kristiansund BK25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad FK34.4

Kristiansund BK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad FK28.1

Kristiansund BK53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad FK21.9

Kristiansund BK9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad FK19.5

Kristiansund BK27.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.76 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/541.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.88 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.7 shots/match

3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/1042.5%

4 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.57 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.02 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots14/1411.8 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/143.5 shots/match

48.6%Possession14/1440.8%

4.21 corners/matchCorners14/144.07 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.57 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.86 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.91 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots6/711.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.29 shots/match

49%Possession6/739.1%

5 corners/matchCorners6/74.86 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/713 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.05 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4