Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Start

LWLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Fredrikstad

WDWLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fredrikstad have a visible away split

moderate

Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.14 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.14 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fredrikstad have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.2%▲PossessionStart · Fredrikstad48.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Possession	40.2%	48.4%	50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Start

0Draws

2Fredrikstad

8 Aug 2026Start — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien0–1

29 May 2026Fredrikstad — Start · Eliteserien2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Start favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 3 · 8 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/13▲1.15 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.77 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/13▲1.14 xG/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/131.62 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1311.2 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1313.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/133.46 shots/match

5.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/135.08 shots/match

40.2%Possessionseason · 14/1348.4%

3.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/134.23 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/135.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1311.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/130%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Start3.1

Fredrikstad40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Start19.8

Fredrikstad18.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Start21.9

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Start84.4

Fredrikstad40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Start84.4

Fredrikstad53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Start3.1

Fredrikstad21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Start32.8

Fredrikstad23.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.09 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match

34.6%Possession5/551.6%

3 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.25 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

38.3%Possession10/1048.6%

2.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲1.15 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.77 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.14 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots14/1311.2 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/133.46 shots/match

40.2%Possession14/1348.4%

3.29 corners/matchCorners14/134.23 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.86 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72.14 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.07 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots6/79.14 shots/match

3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.14 shots/match

42.2%Possession6/747.9%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/73.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls6/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4