PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Intility Arena

Vålerenga IF 3–2 Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vålerenga IF won 3–2.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
710
Expected goals
2.011.59
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valerenga beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2. Recorded in this match (Valerenga – Sarpsborg 08 FF): shots 15–17, shots on target 7–10, expected goals 2.01–1.59, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsVålerenga IF 15 shots, Sarpsborg 08 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots10 shotsVålerenga IF 7 shots, Sarpsborg 08 10 shots
  • Expected goals2.01 xG1.59 xGVålerenga IF 2.01 xG, Sarpsborg 08 1.59 xG
  • Possession54%46%Vålerenga IF 54%, Sarpsborg 08 46%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersVålerenga IF 6 corners, Sarpsborg 08 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsVålerenga IF 13 fouls, Sarpsborg 08 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsVålerenga IF 1 card, Sarpsborg 08 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vålerenga IF
2Draws
2Sarpsborg 08
Vålerenga IF — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien4–0
Sarpsborg 08 — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien1–1
Sarpsborg 08 — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien3–2
Vålerenga IF — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien0–2
Vålerenga IF — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vålerenga IF favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vålerenga IF9 matchesSarpsborg 089 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91 goal/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.45 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match
47.8%Possession9/9● 48%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners9/95.22 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVålerenga IFSarpsborg 08
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headVålerenga IF — Sarpsborg 08
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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