Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeIntility ArenaFull-time recap

Valerenga

DLLDL

3–2Full-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valerenga	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots	15 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.01 xG/match▲	1.59 xG/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	6 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valerenga favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 5 · 5 too close

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.45 xG/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.46 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/911.7 shots/match

15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11.9 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/94.33 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.44 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 9/948%

7.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.22 corners/match

5.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valerenga46.9

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valerenga63.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valerenga28.1

Sarpsborg 08 FF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valerenga96.9

Sarpsborg 08 FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valerenga34.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valerenga90.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valerenga69.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.3 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/553.4%

8.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.45 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots9/911.7 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match

47.8%Possession9/948%

7.33 corners/matchCorners9/95.22 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.45 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots9/911.7 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match

47.8%Possession9/948%

7.33 corners/matchCorners9/95.22 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/547.2%

9.4 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.25 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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