PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Lyse Arena

Viking FK 6–3 IK Start · Eliteserien

6–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Viking FK won 6–3.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.481.22
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Viking beat Start 6–3. Recorded in this match (Viking – Start): shots 12–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.48–1.22, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Start's recent record differs from the season

weak

Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Start show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Start's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsViking · Start10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVikingStartBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsViking FK 12 shots, IK Start 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsViking FK 7 shots, IK Start 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.22 xGViking FK 1.48 xG, IK Start 1.22 xG
  • Possession61%39%Viking FK 61%, IK Start 39%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerViking FK 11 corners, IK Start 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsViking FK 11 fouls, IK Start 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsViking FK 2 cards, IK Start 2 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Viking FK favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · IK Start in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Viking FK9 matchesIK Start9 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.44 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.07 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.9 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.89 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession9/943.3%
6.44 corners/match ●Corners9/93.44 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/914.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsViking FKIK Start
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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