Eliteserien · 2026Lyse Arena

Viking FK 3–0 Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Viking FK won 3–0.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.340.9
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Viking beat Rosenborg 3–0. Recorded in this match (Viking – Rosenborg): shots 18–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.34–0.9, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosenborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsViking · Rosenborg10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVikingRosenborgBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.86 corners/matchCornersViking · Rosenborg● 6.86 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVikingRosenborgBaseline
Corners5.86 corners/match6.86 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsViking FK 18 shots, Rosenborg BK 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsViking FK 6 shots, Rosenborg BK 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.34 xG0.9 xGViking FK 2.34 xG, Rosenborg BK 0.9 xG
  • Possession48%52%Viking FK 48%, Rosenborg BK 52%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersViking FK 7 corners, Rosenborg BK 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsViking FK 13 fouls, Rosenborg BK 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsViking FK 2 cards, Rosenborg BK 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Viking FK
1Draws
2Rosenborg BK
Viking FK — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–1
Rosenborg BK — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–1
Rosenborg BK — Viking FK · Eliteserien2–1
Viking FK — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–2
Viking FK — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Viking FK favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Viking FK7 matchesRosenborg BK7 matches
2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
2.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.02 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match
6.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
47.7%Possession7/7● 49.3%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.86 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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