Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 1 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeLyse ArenaFull-time recap

Viking

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30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVikingRosenborg
Shots18 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.34 xG/match0.9 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosenborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/matchShotsViking · Rosenborg10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVikingRosenborgBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.86 corners/matchCornersViking · Rosenborg6.86 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVikingRosenborgBaseline
Corners5.86 corners/match6.86 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Viking favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Rosenborg in 0 · 4 too close

2.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/70.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.02 xG/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.56 xG/match
16.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/710.4 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/714.3 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/73 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/75.43 shots/match
47.7%Possessionseason · 7/749.3%
5.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76.86 corners/match
6.43 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/76.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 2/0
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/729%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Viking40.6
Rosenborg53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Viking94.8
Rosenborg3.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Viking90.6
Rosenborg38.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Viking96.9
Rosenborg3.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Viking71.9
Rosenborg40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Viking59.4
Rosenborg71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Viking79.7
Rosenborg29.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
2.34 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.07 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/549.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards1/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.02 xG/match
16.6 shots/matchShots7/710.4 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on target7/73 shots/match
47.7%Possession7/749.3%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/76.86 corners/match
Cards2/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.02 xG/match
16.6 shots/matchShots7/710.4 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on target7/73 shots/match
47.7%Possession7/749.3%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/76.86 corners/match
Cards2/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
3.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/40 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.83 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots4/49.25 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target4/43 shots/match
41.5%Possession4/446.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match
Cards1/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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