Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFredrikstad StadionFull-time recap

Fredrikstad

LWWDL

1–2Full-time recap

Viking

LWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fredrikstad	Viking
Shots	12 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.85 xG/match	2.46 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Viking's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Viking show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Viking's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsFredrikstad · Viking16.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fredrikstad	Viking	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.7 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fredrikstad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad have a visible home split

weak

Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Viking in 10 · 3 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲2.21 xG/match

1.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.02 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲16.3 shots/match

15.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲10.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲6.17 shots/match

6.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.17 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 6/647.7%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65.67 corners/match

4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/613.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad46.9

Viking40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad32.3

Viking94.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad17.7

Viking83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad40.6

Viking96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad21.9

Viking71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad37.5

Viking53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad25.8

Viking78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.32 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.6 shots/match

47%Possession5/545%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.21 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲16.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲6.17 shots/match

48.7%Possession6/647.7%

5 corners/matchCorners6/65.67 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.21 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲16.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲6.17 shots/match

48.7%Possession6/647.7%

5 corners/matchCorners6/65.67 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.25 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲17.3 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5 shots/match

42.7%Possession3/356%

5 corners/matchCorners3/37.33 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.92 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4