Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeAker StadionFull-time recap

Molde

WLLWD

5–1Full-time recap

Valerenga

WWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Molde	Valerenga
Shots	18 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match	7 shots/match
Expected goals	3.59 xG/match▲	1.38 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8%▲PossessionMolde · Valerenga43.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Molde	Valerenga	Baseline
Possession	60.8%	43.8%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Molde favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Valerenga in 1 · 6 too close

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.5 goals/match

1.78 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.11 xG/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.02 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/613.8 shots/match

11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/616.5 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64.67 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/64.5 shots/match

60.8%Possessionseason · 6/643.8%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/67.17 corners/match

4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/67.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Molde90.6

Valerenga9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Molde65.6

Valerenga42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Molde63.5

Valerenga44.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Molde15.6

Valerenga90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Molde87.5

Valerenga40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Molde40.6

Valerenga78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Molde58.6

Valerenga56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.1 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60.6%Possession5/544.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match

1.78 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.11 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots6/613.8 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/64.67 shots/match

60.8%Possession6/643.8%

5 corners/matchCorners6/67.17 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match

1.78 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.11 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots6/613.8 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/64.67 shots/match

60.8%Possession6/643.8%

5 corners/matchCorners6/67.17 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/32 goals/match

1.92 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.28 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots4/312.3 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲6 shots/match

60%Possession4/343.3%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/34.33 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4