PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Aker Stadion

Molde FK 5–1 Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien

5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 5–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
3.591.38
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde beat Valerenga 5–1. Recorded in this match (Molde – Valerenga): shots 18–10, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 3.59–1.38, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8% ●PossessionMolde · Valerenga43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMoldeValerengaBaseline
Possession60.8%43.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsMolde FK 18 shots, Vålerenga IF 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsMolde FK 7 shots, Vålerenga IF 7 shots
  • Expected goals3.59 xG1.38 xGMolde FK 3.59 xG, Vålerenga IF 1.38 xG
  • Possession58%42%Molde FK 58%, Vålerenga IF 42%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersMolde FK 2 corners, Vålerenga IF 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsMolde FK 6 fouls, Vålerenga IF 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardMolde FK 1 card, Vålerenga IF 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Molde FK
1Draws
0Vålerenga IF
Molde FK — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien4–1
Vålerenga IF — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–3
Molde FK — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien0–0
Vålerenga IF — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–4
Vålerenga IF — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK6 matchesVålerenga IF6 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.11 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots6/613.8 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/64.67 shots/match
60.8% ●Possession6/643.8%
5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.17 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKVålerenga IF
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headMolde FK — Vålerenga IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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